Based on city plans, mobility demand is expected to grow by 19% by 2030 while CO2 emissions
are forecasted to increase by 18%, with small shifts to more sustainable modes of transportation such as public transit and walking.
Mexico City has been promoting public transit use by expanding and modernizing its network. Between 2019 and 2022, it allocated a US$5.5 billion budget for transport infrastructure projects and maintenance. While these efforts show progress, it will not be enough to offset the growing car emissions impact, which is projected to increase by 18% by 2030. Mexico City’s ongoing program to reduce emissions from cars (Hoy No Circula) exempts zero emissions vehicles from restrictions that prevent when gasoline-powered cars can drive through the city, which could incentivize future electric vehicle purchases but has not yet done so.
And yet, Mexico City’s current emissions trajectory is about 5.1 MtCO2e short of the target, requiring an additional 53% decrease in emissions by 2030 to stay within 1.5°C of warming.