Based on city plans, mobility demand is expected to grow by 8% by 2030 while CO2 emissions
are expected to decrease by 8%, driven by small shifts to greener modes of transportation, like electric vehicles.
Current mobility trends predict that electric vehicles will continue to increase in market share because of California’s ban on gasoline-powered car sales beginning in 2035, as well as increased investments in charging infrastructure.
Los Angeles Metro’s 2020 Long Range Transportation Plan (LRTP) lays out a roadmap to build, operate, maintain, and partner for improved mobility through 2050. Measures include expanding the metro rail network to more than 200 stations over 385 kilometers (240 miles), investing $105 billion in roadway maintenance that includes new active mobility and multi-modal projects, and $7 billion in funding for active mobility projects like protected pedestrian and bicycle infrastructure. This plan is projected to bring 1.84 million jobs and an increase in gross regional product of $196 billion.
And yet, Los Angeles’ current emissions trajectory is about 13.5 MtCO2e short of the target, requiring an additional 54% decrease in emissions by 2030 to stay within 1.5°C of warming.